What are 'safe seats'?
Ballot box graphic
Parliamentary Education Office (peo.gov.au)
This graphic is a representation of a ballots being placed into a ballot boxes.
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 Unported License.
You are free to share – to copy, distribute and transmit the work.
Attribution – you must attribute the work in the manner specified by the author or licensor (but not in any way that suggests that they endorse you or your use of the work).
Non-commercial – you may not use this work for commercial purposes.
No derivative works – you may not alter, transform, or build upon this work.
Waiver – any of the above conditions can be waived if you get permission from the copyright holder.
Thanks for your question. The Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) classifies electorates as safe, fairly safe or marginal. In a safe seat, the winning party receives more than 60 per cent of the vote; it would require a very large swing – change in votes – for the winning candidate to lose this seat at the next federal election. It is considered a fairly safe seat when the winning party receives between 56-60 per cent of the vote. A seat is classified as marginal when the winning party receives less than 56 per cent of the vote. At the next election, it would take a smaller number of people to switch their votes to another candidate, for that candidate to win.